ChainArgos
Research
Research
  • ๐ŸŽฏIntroduction
  • ๐Ÿ”ฌEmpirical Research
    • โšกBlockchain Activity Analysis
      • Ronin Blockchain
      • USDT on Tron
    • ๐Ÿค–Basics
      • Custom Measures
      • Mixers & Incidents
      • Shitcoin Volumes
      • Stablecoin Volumes: Heco vs Ethereum
      • Table math
      • Tether burn and unfreeze
      • Uniswap Price Feeds
      • Upgradeable Proxy Contracts
    • ๐ŸดBlacklists
      • Circle vs Tether Blacklist Frequency
      • Monitoring
      • Odd Frozen Tether #1
      • Pre-Blacklisting Tether Outflows
      • Specific dates & interesting wallets
        • 2023-03-03 Coinbase vs Tether on DPRK Sanctions
        • 2023-12-01 Tether
        • 2024-01-24 Circle
        • 2024-02-07 Tether
    • ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ปDev Vetting
      • Munchables Case Study
    • ๐ŸฆExchange Monitoring
      • Binance - Binance US
    • ๐Ÿ“ŠPricing Case Studies
      • YGG Initial Allocations, Vesting & Pump Timing
    • ๐ŸงชProject Research
    • ๐ŸŽญScams
    • ๐Ÿช™Stablecoins
      • Tron
    • ๐ŸฅทTerrorism
      • Israel Blacklists
      • Israel Sanctions & Tether
    • ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธToken Misallocations
      • ๐ŸŸกether.fi
      • ๐Ÿ”ตOrbler
      • ๐ŸŸฃPolygon
        • Part 1: Circulating Supply Issues
        • Part 2: Staking Flow Problems
        • Part 3: Foundation Odd Flows To Exchanges
    • ๐ŸšฉTron
      • USDT Sizes
    • ๐Ÿ‘›Wallets
  • ๐Ÿค”Theoretical Research
    • Impossibilities
    • What Fraction Of Laundering Do We Expect?
Powered by GitBook
On this page
  • Setup
  • Monthly flows
  • Largest senders and receivers
  • Working out the wallets
  • Treasury
  • Sale
  • Liquidity & staking
  • Partner & advisor
  • Team
  • Marketing
  • Notes
  1. Empirical Research

Project Research

PreviousYGG Initial Allocations, Vesting & Pump TimingNextScams

Last updated 1 year ago

This is an outline of common steps for introductory project research. It begins assuming you know the token you want to look at and have some basic documentation -- possibly with initial allocations or similar -- available. If you do not have any documentation at all that is fine but you're going to need to invent your own labels to get started (i.e. rather than calling something "treasury allocation" it is just going to be "large holder 1").

Setup

This example looks at Ethereum and Orbler (ORBR) with .

The first place to check is the to see what we already have.

Monthly flows

Start from to get monthly on-chain volumes. This will help narrow down the time frame (or frames) to start with.

Now we know the initial period is in February and maybe March 2022.

Largest senders and receivers

Candidate "important wallet" addresses are easily found . Note that, because we do not know exactly what happened or when it happened, that these are just candidates and we want to aim broadly with the time frame.

Working out the wallets

From those tables we can see that 0xf8db5580cdcb77119c753f149eb91b815ee006e0 is the issuance wallet. Why?

  1. It receives the full 2 billion from null

  2. It sends all 2b out and never receives any more.

  3. Some amounts match the allocations.

On the last point we are going to split up the outflows later. It is normal to need 2 or 3 layers of wallets to find everything. For example airdrops are often run out of a separate wallet with hundreds or even thousands of small destinations.

The outflows are:

address
amount

0x58e33934411f8e453b5cb04c498d194d01b3fad8

960,000,000.00

0x78b4964bf6cbc618e340aac960f8bc61c06434ff

400,000,000.00

0x8ff19db5b7d712b98026acf692793d47dceece56

220,000,000.00

0xeb926db328044c0cdb8c5fbcf1bd3649d8cd4b57

200,000,000.00

0x6f0df17a5872c14492ff7ce8d305ba0cdd22cb11

200,000,000.00

0xcb7f80a4d3fa609cc3acd2a018547a9e8ec56548

20,000,000.00

Compare this to a stated allocation of:

label
amount

marketing

20mm

sale

300mm

team

140mm

partner & advisor

20mm

liquidity / staking

400mm

treasury

1120mm

This means we are going to need to do a little guesswork to figure things out.

Treasury

address
amount

0x78b4964bf6cbc618e340aac960f8bc61c06434ff

100mm

0x6f0df17a5872c14492ff7ce8d305ba0cdd22cb11

60mm

Sale

This may take a bit more checking to confirm but it is a good candidate.

Liquidity & staking

It distributes a long tail of 8.33mm chunks, 17.36mm to 0x833b0f56ea206df8ee784fa115c42ecdf00e3f08 and then a lot of 4mm and down amounts.

This looks like the liquidity and staking wallet.

Partner & advisor

0xeb926db328044c0cdb8c5fbcf1bd3649d8cd4b57 receives 200mm from treasury. It sends 180mm to 0x8ff19db5b7d712b98026acf692793d47dceece56 and then a lot of 1.11mm and 833k single payments.

That looks like paying related parties but could also be marketing expenses,

Team

This looks like the team wallet.

Marketing

This looks like a partially-spent marketing budget. But it is also possible they just did not have as many partners as expected.

Notes

It is plausible we have the marketing and partner & advisor wallets backwards. That would mean they have incurred a lot of marketing expenses and stiffed (or never had) partners. It does not really matter which happened.

In more complex cases you may need to look downstream from these wallets. Or if it really matters which is marketing and which is the partner wallet we would need to look further. But for the purposes of an intro this is a reasonable place to stop.

0x58e33934411f8e453b5cb04c498d194d01b3fad8 receives 960mm from the issuance wallet and enough to make up the difference to 1120mm :

Net of the 100mm above this leaves 300mm in 0x78b4964bf6cbc618e340aac960f8bc61c06434ff. That makes it a good candidate to be the "sale" wallet. And if we this looks correct. The other recipients are not addresses we already know.

receives 220mm from treasury and 180mm from . That is 400mm.

receives 200mm from treasury. It sends 60mm to 0x58e33934411f8e453b5cb04c498d194d01b3fad8 and then another long tail of 7.77mm and other clearly-allocations-amounts.

deposits a bit to exchanges but still has the bulk of the initial 20mm tokens.

๐Ÿ”ฌ
๐Ÿงช
this documentation
wallet tag data
this dashboard
here
from two other wallets given above
look at that wallet
0x8ff19db5b7d712b98026acf692793d47dceece56
0xeb926db328044c0cdb8c5fbcf1bd3649d8cd4b57
0x6f0df17a5872c14492ff7ce8d305ba0cdd22cb11
0xcb7f80a4d3fa609cc3acd2a018547a9e8ec56548